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Desk note · industry · Cement / construction inputs

UltraTech says petcoke and diesel costs are harder to predict than the West Asia war

After posting September-quarter results on 19 October 2026, UltraTech Cement's finance chief Atul Daga warned that petcoke and industrial diesel prices remain volatile while the Middle East conflict drags on, squeezing margins even as volumes grow and leaving smaller cement rivals with less room to absorb the same fuel bill.

20 Oct 2026 · 2 min read

Key takeaways

  • •CFO Atul Daga said on 19 October 2026 that forecasting West Asia outcomes feels harder than rolling dice after petcoke prices shot up and industrial diesel hit record highs.
  • •UltraTech's consolidated net profit rose about 21% year on year to roughly ₹1,494 crore in Q2 FY27 but missed Bloomberg's consensus near ₹1,604 crore as fuel, freight, and raw material costs climbed.
  • •A weak monsoon kept construction activity going in the September 2026 quarter, lifting volumes even as input costs rose, a mix Daga said smaller cement makers struggle to pass through.

What's going on here?

On 19 October 2026, UltraTech Cement Ltd, India's largest cement producer, reported September-quarter earnings and hosted an analyst call dominated by fuel anxiety. Chief financial officer Atul Daga said petcoke prices had shot through the roof and industrial diesel, used in mining and trucking, sits at an all-time high after repeated government increases. He joked that predicting the West Asia crisis outcome is harder than rolling dice, after the company had hoped crude would ease last quarter. Consolidated net profit attributable to shareholders rose about 21% year on year to roughly ₹1,493.8 crore, but that fell short of a Bloomberg poll near ₹1,604 crore because freight and raw materials also inflated. Volumes grew on a weak monsoon that kept sites active longer than usual, yet margin pressure persisted. Shares closed about 2.4% lower on the day while the Nifty fell roughly 1.1%.

What does this mean?

Cement kilns burn petcoke and coal to reach clinker temperatures, then move tonnes by diesel trucks. When war risk keeps global fuel elevated, the cost hits before builders renegotiate project budgets. UltraTech's scale lets it mix imports, petcoke, and alternative fuels and push price increases with a lag. Regional players with thinner balance sheets feel the same diesel and petcoke invoices without the same pricing power, which is why Daga said the industry's smaller names face a tougher absorption problem. Housing demand can stay firm while profits wobble if input inflation outruns announced cement price hikes.

Why should I care?

If you are building or buying a home, watch whether local dealers raise cement bags again after this cost spike, especially outside metro markets where logistics matter. Contractors should lock quotes quickly when diesel surcharges move. Investors in mid-cap cement names should stress-test margins against petcoke rather than only volume growth. Track weekly petcoke import prices, government diesel revisions, and whether UltraTech and peers announce another round of cement price increases into the festive construction season.

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Disclaimer

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Verify with filings and a licensed adviser.